Yesterday, Buffalo hit a record high temperature of 82 degrees. Let’s say I told a random person who didn’t know where I live that the temperature in my city was 82 degrees on a particular day. They’d probably say that was a nice day. Now what if I told them that that particular day also happened to be in the middle of October? They’d be a little more impressed. They might even assume I live somewhere warm like Florida. Lastly, imagine if I told them it was 82 degrees in the middle of October in Buffalo, NY. Most people would say that was a GREAT day, given that the average high temperature in Buffalo on October 9th is 62 degrees. Context always matters when comparing and evaluating. This is especially important in investing. Your co-worker’s 401k is up 16% for the year and yours is only up 2%? Good for them, but chances are...

The stock and bond markets have had a bumpy start to 2018.  But one area of the stock market in particular is having a wonderful year so far: technology stocks.  The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is up 13.22% year to date (as represented by QQQ).  Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is only up 3.81% and the international stock market (represented by MSCI ACWI ex US) is down -3.52% for 2018. So what exactly is lifting the Nasdaq 100?  Big tech names we all know are crushing it so far this year: Amazon up 47.95% Apple up 10.39% Microsoft up 19.22% Google up 11.02% Facebook up 14.19% Netflix up 116.42% An investor with a diversified portfolio may be hearing this for the first time or, even worse, may have already heard/read about it from their co-worker, neighbor, or in-law.  It’s common for people who are overweight in an investment that is doing great to make sure everyone around them knows it. ...

The average federal tax refund is $2,895 based on 2016 data.  I could write an entire post about why you should change your tax withholding to ensure you don’t end up getting such a large refund, but we’ll save that for another day. A refund provides a great opportunity to make smart a financial decision.  In this post, I’d like to highlight some different uses that would improve your financial life.  Here they are in no particular order: 1. Shore up your emergency savings You might have experienced unexpected car issues, home repairs or other financial emergencies in 2017.  If you did, you probably leaned on your emergency fund to help pay for those unexpected expenses.  You should generally aim to have 3-6 month’s worth of living expenses in a savings account as an emergency fund at all times.  Using your refund to shore up your emergency fund may be a smart...

Imagine I told you that you lost $5,000.  You’d be upset, but probably not devastated.  Now imagine that I told you that you lost $50,000.  You’d feel unsurprisingly worse. But what if this is what happened? You are 30 years old and your $50,000 401k account declined by 10%. There’s your $5,000 loss.  You’d think to yourself, “I’ve got time, I’m young and still saving aggressively for retirement.” OR You are 55 years old and your $500,000 portfolio declined 10% and you lost $50,000. Not only do you feel worse because $50,000 is a lot more than $5,000, but add to that the fact that it took you 20-plus years of saving to accumulate that half a million dollars and you were thinking of retiring in the next 5-10 years.  This situation is much more concerning emotionally. Admittedly, the 55 year old probably has a more conservative portfolio than the 30 year old, so it...

The stock market started a downturn late last week and has continued that decline today.  The S&P 500 was down 113 points today, or 4.1%, and down 224 points from its closing high of 2,873 on January 26.  This represents a 7.8% decline in a matter of days. While nobody could have predicted this type of decline, or its speed, it isn’t terribly unexpected.  The stock market has been on a phenomenal run since March of 2016 and investment portfolios have benefited from that.  This pullback takes the market back to slightly below the end of 2017. This really means that a diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds is probably back to even for 2018.  The context of “just giving up the last month’s gains” can help you feel a little better than thinking the stock market just went down 8% in a couple of days.  Investors should remember that this is...

The S&P 500 has been on a hot streak for the last 22 months going back to March of 2017.  Since then, there has been exactly one negative month, October 2017.*   Last year was technically perfect, with zero losing months for the S&P 500.  Because of this hot streak, I keep hearing the same statements: This can’t continue much longer There has to be a correction coming soon The market has to go down The market doesn’t have to do anything! I repeat, the market doesn’t have to do anything at all. It doesn’t have to go up and it doesn’t have to go down. The market will simply be a market.  It’s made up of people who sometimes get over excited and sometimes get overly depressed. Right now, people are very clearly excited. [caption id="attachment_7267" align="alignnone" width="970"] *JP Morgan Guide to the Markets Q4 2017[/caption] Not excited without reason, however!  Corporate earnings are great and expected to...

2018 is already upon us and with every new year comes the resolutions. If you’re on the verge of retirement it is even more important to have your financial house in order.  With that thought, I’ve created a list of new year’s resolutions specifically geared to those who plan to retire in 2018.  Those of you who are still a few years away from retirement can also use these tips to get a jump start on planning (reminder: the earlier you start planning the easier it will be). 1) Track your expenses to determine what you need to live on How much money do you need per month to be comfortable? I prefer people calculate this on a monthly basis since many of us can do this with relative ease.  Of course, don’t forget any quarterly or yearly expenses.  This is the most important number when it comes to your retirement.  It...